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What is derivatives?
Investors will find that there are lots of opportunities to make
money once they understand the concept of derivatives and its application.
It is this moneymaking opportunity that has made this new instrument
so popular with investors and brokers alike. SEBI allowed trading
in equities-based trading on Stock Exchanges in June 2000. Thereafter,
NSE and BSE allowed trading in futures and options. Stock based
futures followed next and volumes in the derivatives section increased
by leaps and bounds.
Derivatives are financial contracts between two parties (sometimes
guaranteed by a third), where the value of the transaction depends
upon the value of other factors, called 'Underlying assets', or
simply assets. These are legally binding contracts to buy or sell
something in future. The asset can be a share, index, interest rate,
bond, rupee-dollar exchange rate, sugar, cereal, soybean or anything
that is traded in the market. Informally, derivatives market has
existed for long in the commodities market, mainly to hedge against
price fluctuations. But now, trading volume in financial instruments
is much higher than that in commodities. This is a reflection of
our economy where relative GDP contribution is shifting increasingly
from the secondary to the tertiary sector. As more and more companies
float financial instruments in the market for investors, the derivative
market has increased accordingly and given that our markets are
perpetually capital hungry, prospects of the derivative market expanding
even further are extremely good. Since most of these contracts are
guaranteed by a third party (the Exchange), your risk against non-compliance
to the contract is covered. Relatively speaking, it is much safer
than trading in the equity market where no such coverage exists.
In fact, responsible funds like Pension and Mutual Funds, are increasingly
investing in derivatives to reap in big profits, while avoiding
risks involved in such high-profit transactions.
A derivative is a very good option for the investor who wants to
enter the Capital Market. It is a low-risk, high-profit transaction.
Besides, the Derivatives Market can go only one way - Northwards!
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Uses
of derivatives:
Hedging
Hedging is a strategy designed to minimise exposure to
an unwanted business risk.
Some form of risk taking is inherent to any business activity (if
there were no risk, it is likely that there would be no reward).
Some forms of risk are "natural" to a business, whose
competitive advantage would be derived when the risk is managed
well. Other forms of risk are not necessarily wanted, but cannot
be avoided. For example, someone who has a shop, takes care of the
risk of competition and poor or unpopular products and so on, these
risks being natural in nature. The risk of their stock being destroyed
by fire is unwanted/unnatural. A hedge can help lock in profits.
Its purpose is to reduce the volatility of a portfolio by reducing
the risk of loss.
Common forms of market risk are :
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Commodity risk- the risk, for prospective buyers, is that prices
of raw materials (energy, metals, farm produce) might rise and
for sellers, that they could fall. |
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Foreign risk-
the risk, for exporters, that the value of their accounting
currency might fall against the value of the importers (also
known as volatility risk) |
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Interest rate
risk- the risk, for borrowers, that interest rates could rise
and for lenders that they might fall. |
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Equity risk-
the risk, for those having assets as equity holdings contemplating
a fall in the value of the same. |
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Futures
contracts and forward contracts are a means of hedging against the
risk of adverse market movements. These originally developed out
of commodity markets in the nineteenth century, but over the last
fifty years it has developed into a huge global market to hedge
financial market risk.
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Speculation
Speculation is the buying, holding and selling of stocks, commodities,
futures, currencies, collectibles, real estate or any valuable thing
to profit from fluctuations in its price as opposed to buying it
for use or for income - dividends, rent etc. Speculation is one
of three market roles in western financial markets, distinct from
hedging and arbitrage. Speculation exists in many commodities but,
when quantified, its presence is felt mostly in markets dealing
in financial futures and other derivatives which involve leverage
that can transform a small market movement into a huge gain or loss.
The roles of speculators in a market economy are to absorb risk
and to add liquidity and capital, in the marketplace for the chance
of monetary reward. For example, if there were no speculators in
a certain market, say in pork bellies, the only participants in
that market would be the producers (pig farmers) and consumers (pork
dealers). With fewer players in the market, there would be a larger
spread between the current bid and ask price of pork bellies. Any
new entrant in the market who wants to either buy or sell pork bellies
will be forced to accept an illiquid market and market prices that
have a large bid-ask spread. Another example of the value of speculators
is the ability of a pig farmer to sell his pork on the futures market
at a known price ahead of its production.
Auctions are methods of squeezing out speculators from a transaction,
but they have their own wayward effects. Sometimes, speculative
purchasing can cause particular prices to rise above their "true
worth" simply because the speculative purchasing is artificially
increasing the demand. Speculative selling can also cause prices
to fall below "true value" in a similar fashion. In some
situations, price rise due to speculative purchasing and initiate
further speculative purchasing in the hope that the price will continue
to rise. This creates a positive feedback loop in which prices rise
dramatically above the underlying "value" or "worth"
of the items. This is known as an economic bubble (or sometimes
a speculative bubble). Such a period of increasing speculative purchasing
is very often followed by one of speculative selling in which the
price falls due to a crash. This is very often even more dramatic
than the period of rising prices.
In short, speculators put their money at risk in the hope of profiting
from an anticipated price change. They consider various factors
such as demand-supply, market positions, open interests, economic
fundamentals and other data to take their positions.
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Arbitrage
Arbitrage is the practice of taking advantage of a state of imbalance
between two (or possibly more) markets: a combination of matching
deals is struck that exploit the imbalance, the profit being the
difference between the market prices. A person who engages in arbitrage
is called an arbitrageur.
Arbitrage is possible when one of three conditions is not met:
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The same asset must trade at the same price on all markets ("the
law of one price"). |
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Two assets
with identical cash flows must trade at the same price. |
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An asset with
a known price in the future, must today trade at its future
price discounted at the risk free rate. |
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See
Rational pricing, particularly Arbitrage mechanics, for further
discussion.
The term "arbitrage" is usually applied only to trading
in money and investment instruments (such as stocks, bonds and other
securities). The difference in asset prices is usually referred
to as "the spread", so arbitrage is often defined as "playing
the spread" in the money market.
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Examples:
One real-life example of arbitrage involves the stock market in
New Delhi and the futures market in Mumbai. When the price of a
stock in New Delhi and its corresponding future in Mumbai are out
of sync, one can buy the less expensive one and sell the more expensive
one. Since the differences between the prices are likely to be small
(and not last very long), this can only be done profitably with
computers examining a large number of prices and automatically exercising
a trade when the prices are reasonably out of balance. The activity
of other arbitrageurs can make this risky. Those with the fastest
computers and the smartest mathematicians take advantage of series
of small differentials that would not be profitable if taken individually.
If you can buy items at one price at a factory outlet and sell them
for a higher price on an internet auction website such as Bazee.com
or Rediff Shopping, you can exploit the imbalance between those
two markets for those items.
Arbitrage transactions in modern securities markets involve fairly
low risks. Generally it is impossible to close two or three transactions
at the same instant; therefore, there is the possibility that when
one part of the deal is closed, a quick shift in prices makes it
impossible to close the other at a profitable price. There is also
an unlikely counter-party risk. This could prove to be grossly hazardous
because of the large quantities one must trade in order to make
a profit out of small price differences. These risks become magnified
when leverage or borrowed money is used.
Another risk occurs if the items being bought and sold are not identical
and the arbitrage is conducted under the assumption that the prices
of the items are correlated or predictable. In comparison to the
classical quick arbitrage transaction, such an operation can produce
disastrous losses.
In one form of speculation, one trades a security that is clearly
undervalued or overvalued, when it is seen that the wrong valuation
is about to be corrected by events. The standard example is the
stock of a company, undervalued in the stock market, which is about
to be the object of a takeover bid. The price of the takeover will
more truly reflect the value of the company, generating large profits
to those who bought at the current price, if the merger goes through
as predicted. Traditionally, arbitrage transactions in the securities
markets involve high speed and low risk. At some moments, when a
price difference exists, the problem to execute two or three balancing
transactions while the difference persists (that is, before the
other arbitrageurs act), becomes quite unmanageable. When the transaction
involves a delay of weeks or months, as above, it may entail considerable
risk if borrowed money is used to magnify the reward through leverage.
One way of reducing the risk is through the illegal use of inside
information. Needless of any justifications, this practice is banned
by SEBI..
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