A
future, in financial terminology, is a financial contract that obligates
the buyer (seller) to purchase (sell and deliver) financial instruments
or physical commodities at a future date, unless the holder's position
is closed prior to expiration. Futures are often used by mutual
funds and large institutions to hedge their positions when the markets
are rocky, preventing large losses in value. The primary difference
between options and futures is that options provide the holder the
right to buy or sell the underlying asset at expiration, while futures
contracts holders are obligated to fulfill the terms of their contract.
What are forward contracts?
A forward contract is an
agreement between two parties to buy or sell an asset (which can
be of any kind) at a pre-agreed future date. Therefore, the trade
date and delivery date are separate. Beside other instruments, such
as Options or Futures, it is used to control and hedge risk. For
examples, currency exposure risk (e.g. forward contracts on USD
or Rupee) or commodity prices (e.g. forward contracts of oil). The
forward price will usually give a good market estimation of the
price in the future.
One party agrees to buy, the other to sell, for a forward price
agreed in advance. In a forward transaction, no actual cash changes
hands. If the transaction is collaterised, exchange of margin will
take place according to a pre-agreed rule or schedule. Otherwise,
no asset of any kind will actually change hands until the maturity
of the contract.
The forward price of such a contract is commonly contrasted with
the spot price, which is the price at which the asset changes hands
(on the spot date, usually the next business day). The difference
between the spot and the forward price is the forward premium or
forward discount. A forward contract is the simplest mode of a derivative
transaction. No cash is exchanged when the contract is entered into.
The main features of a forward contract are:
| 01 |
It is a negotiated contract between two parties and hence
exposed to counterparty risk. Example: Trade takes place between
Ram and Rahim @ Rs. 100 to buy & sell commodity A. After
1 month, it is trading at Rs. 400. If Ram was the buyer he
would have gained Rs. 300 & Rahim the seller, he would
have lost Rs. 300. In case Rahim defaults, Ram would face
counterparty risk. In case of futures contract, the exchange
gives a counter guarantee to both the parties and hence even
if Rahim defaulted, Ram would have gained Rs. 300.
|
| 02 |
Each contract is custom designed and hence unique in terms of contract size,
expiration date, asset type, asset quality etc.
|
| 03 |
A contract has to be settled in delivery or cash on expiration date.
|
| 04 |
In case one of the two parties wishes to reverse a contract,
he has to compulsorily go to the other party. The counter
party being in a monopoly situation, can command the price
he wants.
|
What
are futures contract?
A futures contract is a form of forward contract, a contract to buy or sell an
asset of any kind at a pre-agreed future point in time, that has been
standardised for a wide range of uses. It is traded on a futures exchange.
Futures may also differ from forwards in terms of margin and delivery
requirements.
The standard terms in any futures contract are:
| 01 |
Quality of the underlying asset (not required in case of financial futures)
|
| 02 |
Expiration date
|
| 03 |
The unit of price quotation (not the price)
|
| 04 |
Minimum fluctuation in price (tick
size) |
| 05 |
Settlement style
|
For example: Suppose in April 2005, you are dealing
in a Wipro futures contract and you know that the market lot, i.e.,
the minimum quantity you can buy or sell, is 1200 shares. The contract
expires on April 28, 2005 (price being quoted per share) and the
tick size is 5 paise per share resulting to (1200*0.05) = Rs60 per
contract/ market lot. The contract would be settled in cash and
the closing price in the cash market on expiry day would be the
settlement price.
Since they vary in price as a direct function of these variables
only, a futures contract is an example of a parametric contract
and is easily combined or traded as part of more complex financial
derivatives deals. Although the value of a contract at time of trading
should be zero, its price constantly fluctuates. This renders the
owner liable to adverse changes in value and creates a credit risk
to the exchange. To minimise this risk, the exchange mandates that
contract owners post a form of collateral, known as margin. The
amount of margin changes each day, involving movements of cash handled
by the exchange's clearing house.
Margin requirements are waived or reduced in some cases for hedgers
who have physical ownership of the covered commodity or spreaders
who have offsetting contracts balancing the position.
Initial margin is paid by both buyer and seller. It represents the
loss on that contract, as determined by historical price changes,
that is not likely to be exceeded on a usual day's trading. The
price of a future is determined via arbitrage arguments.
What
is the difference between a forward and a futures contract?
The differences are many and substantive:
| 01 |
Customised vs Standardised contract: Forward contracts are
customised while futures contracts are standardised. Terms
of forward contracts are negotiated between the buyer and
the seller, while the terms of futures contracts are decided
by the exchange.
|
| 02 |
Counter Party Risk: In forward contracts there is a risk of counter party
default. In case of futures the exchange becomes counter party to each trade
and guarantees settlement.
|
| 03 |
Liquidity: Futures are much more liquid and their price is transparent as their
price and volumes are reported in the media.
|
| 04 |
Squaring off: A forward contract
can be reversed with only the same counter party with whom it was entered into.
A futures contract can be reversed on the screen of the exchange as the latter
is the counter party to all futures trades. |
What
are index futures?
The derivatives market index
run on the underlying stock/equity index. While there are many indices
at both BSE and NSE and other exchanges around the country, only
the 30 share BSE Sensex and the 50-share NSE S&P Nifty index
can legally deal in the derivative market index. A thorough understanding
of the underlying index is necessary to deal with stock index futures.
Choosing the right index is important for selecting the right contract
for speculation or hedging. Since for speculation, the volatility
of the index is important whereas for hedging the choice of index
depends upon the relationship between the stocks being hedged and
the characteristics of the index, choosing and understanding the
right index is important, as the movement of stock index futures
is quite similar to that of the underlying stock index.
Volatility of the futures indices is generally greater than spot
stock indices.Every time an investor takes a long or short position
on a stock, he also has a hidden exposure to the Nifty or Sensex.
Generally, stock values fall in tune with the entire market sentiment
and rise when the market as a whole is rising.
Retail investors will find the index derivatives useful due to the
high correlation of the index with their portfolio/stock and low
cost associated with using index futures for hedging.
Index futures are all futures contracts where the underlying is
the stock index (Nifty or Sensex) and helps a trader to take a view
on the market as a whole.
Index futures permits speculation and if a trader anticipates a
major rally in the market he can simply buy a futures contract and
hope for a price rise on the futures contract when the rally occurs.
In India, we have index futures contracts based on S&P CNX Nifty
and the BSE Sensex and near 3 months duration contracts are available
at all times. Each contract expires on the last Thursday of the
expiry month and simultaneously a new contract is introduced for
trading after expiry of a contract.
Let's understand the index futures concept with a general example.
After listening to the news and other occurrences in the economy,
you take a view that the market would go up. You substantiate your
view after talking to your near and dear ones. When the market opens,
you express your view by buying XYZ stock. The whole market goes
up as you expected but the price of XYZ stock falls due to some
bad news related to the company. This means that while your view
was correct, its expression was wrong. Using Nifty/Sensex futures
you can express your view on the market as a whole. In this case
you take only market risk without exposing yourself to any company
specific risk. Though trading on Nifty or Sensex might not give
you a very high return as trading in a stock can, yet at the same
time your risk is also limited as index movements are smooth, less
volatile and devoid of unwarranted swings.

|